Two structural shifts are reshaping who buys wholesale deals in Cincinnati real estate right now.
The first is the buyer pool itself. Hedge fund buyers, active and easy to sell to through roughly 2022 and 2023, largely exited the market by late 2023. Small multifamily buy-and-hold buyers, once a steady segment for two-to-four unit properties, have also thinned out as interest rates compressed rental math. Flippers are now close to Koch's entire buyer list.
The second is a change in who is selling. Koch is seeing more homeowners who bought in 2021 or 2022, often with 3.5% to 5% down, raise their hand to sell now. Despite several years of appreciation, many do not have the 30% to 40% equity a flipper needs to hit a 70% to 75% of ARV minus repairs target. Foreclosures remain a steady, gradually increasing lead source across Hamilton, Clermont, Butler, and Warren counties, a trend Koch attributes to broader economic pressure rather than any single cause.
Underneath both shifts sits the same fixed-supply thesis driving much of **Greater Cincinnati** right now: homes with an ARV under $250,000 cannot be built new at that price today. That inventory is capped, renovation costs on it stay lower because buyer expectations are lower, and demand for it keeps rising as supply stays fixed or shrinks.













